Thursday, July 17th, 2008
ARE HOUSING PRICES FALLING, RISING OR - YOU DON’T KNOW?
Home Prices Climb! American Public Knows More About Housing Market Than The Govenment And News Media: That statement is hardly news. It is, however, unfortunate and important. With all the doom and gloom in the newspapers and the nightly news broadcasts concerning the state of housing nationally you would think that the value of homes is in an endless spiral downward and that home buyers have jumped in a hole and pulled the hole in after them. According to National Association of Realtors statistics the median home price has risen each of the last four months. The high point of $230,200 was reached in July of 2006. The low (if it turns out to be that) of $195,600 was reached in February of this year. By May the price had risen to $208,600. The latest figures will be released on July 24. The mean (average) home price has also rebounded. In February it was $242,000 and by May it was $253,100. Furthermore, on an annualized basis the volume of home sales has risen from 4,890,000 in January to 4,990,000 in May. Americans are taking advantage of good prices in their markets and whether we have seen the lows or not the public deserves to have the good news as well as the bad. What else is new? Well, housing starts in June were up by 9.1%, building permits were up 11.6% and new construction on single family homes fell. Furthermore, mortgage applications were up for the third week in a row while home builder sentiment was at its lowest level - ever - last month. If you think on these last comments a little you might come to some conclusions as to where the housing market REALLY is.
New Federal Reserve Lending Rules: The new rules apply to all banks and go into effect on October 1, 2009. The new escrow rules will go into effect on April 1, 2010. Here are the new rules: * Lenders will be required to escrow money to pay taxes and insurance for risky borrowers * Lenders must credit a mortgage payment to a home owner’s account the day it is received. * A loan may not be made without documentation of the borrower’s income * Mortgage advertising will be required to include information about rates, monthly payments and other features of the loan * Limit and in some cases prohibit prepayment penalties * Prohibit lenders from making a loan without factoring in the borrower’s ability to repay a home loan from sources other than the home’s value * Brokers and others may not ”coerce or encourage” an appraiser to misrepresent the value of a home.
Politics And Other Junk: I find the flap about Obama cartoon depictions to be rather humorous. Political cartoons have been scathing for as far back as cartoons in newspapers and magazines go. It all brings to mind the quote attributed to Harry Truman - “If you don’t like the heat get out of the kitchen”. Furthermore, Truman gave as good as he got. For instance take his comment about Douglas MacArthur “I didn’t fire him because he was a dumb son of a bitch, although he was, but that’s not against the law for generals. If it was, half to three quarters of them would be in jail.” Harry wasn’t on my side of the fence politically but the older I get the better President he was and the only other President I can say that about (who I liked but couldn’t stand his brother) was Ike. Presidential politics is not polite business and the sooner brothers Obama and McCain take off the gloves and get with it the better!. It’s only when it’s “no holds barred” that you find out where the candidates are really coming from.
John Fish (919) 696-3474 Email: Marvmax@mindspring.com Website: www.JohnFish.com




