Wednesday, May 14th, 2008
THE BIG TEN SHINES IN THE ECONOMIC GLOOM
Raleigh, North Carolina. No It’s Not College Football or Basketball. It appears that if you want to be certain that people will read what you have to say you have to provide a list of the 10 best, 10 worst, 10 most expensive, etc. Despite all the gloom and doom about the economy, the housing market, automobile sales, skyrocking gasoline prices (looks like I could make a list of the 10 most depressing factors facing our economy and most individuals) there are areas where the sun shines a little brighter than in others. Forbes did an article about - America’s Recession Proof Cities. I think that title is a little much but it does point out that some areas are still doing pretty well. Raleigh has, for quite a number of years, been blessed to be at or near the top of a lot of lists regarding jobs, home sales, breadth of business climate to name but a few. Not long ago I mentioned that Raleigh was among Forbes Magazines 10 favored cities. The blessed 10, per the current article, are Oklahoma City, San Antonio, Austin, Houston, Charlotte, Dallas, San Jose, Raleigh, Salt Lake City and Seattle. Forbes looked at umemployment, job growth in non-farm payrolls, construction, health services, financial activities, education, leisure and hospitality, natural resources, manufacturing, transportation and utilites, professional, business services and they considered which areas posted the best gains in median home prices. They also looked at how the productivity level of each city would be impacted by declining home prices and increasing foreclosures. When all these factors were taken into consideration the cities that came out best were the above named ten.
Texas had four of the top ten because of historically lower home prices, the availability of land, less zoning restrictions and an energy market risen, like the Phoenix, from the ashes. Also, all four cities had declining unemployment rates. Various factors were responsible for the favored position of the other top ten cities. What caused me to bring this up again, in particular, is how true the old saying is that “what goes around comes around.” Much of the southwest has had a long period of not enjoying the sunshine much of the rest of the country was enjoying because of problems in the oil patch. Declining oil production, declining jobs in the oil industry and the availability of “cheap foreign oil” all conspired to do a lot of hurt to those areas. Well, the chickens have again come home to roost. The price of foreign oil is doing a number on all parts of this nation but at least the demand for the oil we produce is doing wonders for the businesses that are both directlly and indirectly involved in it. So, if people in Texas, Oklahoma and a few other places are inclined to enjoy their time in the sun it is to be understood. While none of us like what is going on at the pump one can hardly begrudge the folks that work in the various oil and energy related businesses their reviving prosperity. Oklahoma city is prospering not only in the energy area but in agriculture and manufacturing as well. It was great to see how well they supported the NBA team “on loan” to them from New Orleans. They should be next in line for a franchise of their own and at the moment that looks like it might be Seattle.
John Fish (919) 696-3474 Email: Marvmax@mindspring.com Website: www.JohnFish.com









